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区域自主创新能力时空演变及影响因素实证研究——基于时变参数的状态空间模型 被引量:2

The empirical analysis on space-time evolution and influencing factors of self-dependent innovation in regions-the time varying parameter ——analysis based on state space model
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摘要 基于1990-2012年中国30个省市时间序列数据,运用ARCGIS软件进行空间地理描述,分析了区域自主创新能力的时空演变规律和影响因素。从技术溢出效应、内生效应和规模效应3个维度,选取4种指标作为状态变量,构建状态空间模型,分析了自主创新能力影响因素的作用机理。研究表明:4个状态变量与自主创新能力存在长期均衡关系;R&D存量、FDI存量对自主创新能力产生正向影响,人均GDP、研发人员投入量对自主创新能力产生反向影响;影响力按大小排序为:R&D存量、FDI存量、人均GDP和研发人员投入量。 Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 1990 to 2012,the present situation and influencing factors of self-dependent innovation are analyzed by a ARCGIS software. Then, the mechanism of action is analyzed by state space model from three dimensions including reverse technology spillover effect, endogenous effect and scale effect. The results show that: firstly, There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between 4 state variables and independent innovation ability. Secondly, RD stock and FDI stock have a positive impact on the independent innovation ability, and the per capita GDP and R D personnel input have a reverse impact on the independent innovation ability. Thirdly, the value of influence to self-dependent innovation from different factors is as follows: RD stock, FDI stock, the GDP per capita and the number of RD personnel.
作者 郑音 杨扬 ZHENG Yin, YANG Yang (1.Finance Department, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin 123000, China;2.Coilege of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao 125105, China)
出处 《辽宁工程技术大学学报:社会科学版》 2018年第1期32-36,57共6页 Journal of Liaoning Technical University(Social Science Edition)
关键词 自主创新 空间特征 影响因素 状态空间模型 self-dependent innovation spatial pattern influencing factors state space model
作者简介 郑音(1965-),女,辽宁黑山人,中级经济师,主要从事经济管理方面的研究。
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