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谁在助推房价?——基于中国高层次流动人口的经验证据

Who Is Pushing Housing Prices:Empirical Evidence Based on China’s High-level Migrant Population
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摘要 以往相关研究,由于数据可得性和滞后性的限制,对流动人口特征与住房价格的关系研究不足。本文基于在线简历大数据还原了区域人口流动情况,并从人力资本理论视角,探究了流动人口质量水平与我国城市房价的关系。实证结果表明,流动人口受教育程度每提高1年,将推动当地房价增长9.35%。进一步分析还发现:(1)跨省流动人力资本对房价的推动作用比省内流动的要高(8.62%→3.12%);(2)在整个生命周期内,流动人力资本对房价的推动作用呈现先增后减的趋势,在27-37岁阶段最大(6.40%)。本文的研究结论延续和深化了流动人口与城市房价的相关研究,并进一步丰富与拓展了简历大数据的研究应用范围。 Migrant population as one of the important groups to buy housing,its impact on the regional housing price level should be taken seriously.In the past,the related research is limited by the availability and lag of the data,and the researches between the migrant population and the housing prices are not enough.This paper attempts to restore the regional population flow based on the big data from the online resumes,and explores the relationship between the quality level of the migrant population and the urban housing prices from the perspective of human capital theory,which tries to provide a new way to forecast the price fluctuation and stabilize the housing prices.The results show that the average number of years of education into the population has increased by one year,and urban housing prices have increased by 9.35%.Further,this article finds:(1)The role of inter-provincial mobile human capital to promote housing prices is higher than the province(8.62%→3.12%).(2)The contribution of mobile human capital to house prices is first increasing and then decreasing throughout the life cycle,the largest belonging to 27-37 years(6.40%).The study results of this paper deepen the related research on the migrant population and urban housing price,and further expand the application scope of the big data of resume.
作者 周怀康 彭秋萍 孙博 姜军辉 ZHOU Huaikang;PENG Qiuping;SUN Bo;JIANG Junhui(South China University of Technology,Guangzhou,510640;South China Normal University,Guangzhou,510006)
出处 《中国经济问题》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第1期93-105,共13页 Economic Issues in China
基金 国家自然科学基金重点项目:共享理念下的多元雇佣:合作型人才管理理论建构与作用机理研究(71832003) 中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2018M643097)的资助。
关键词 流动人力资本 住房价格 简历数据 floating human capital housing prices resume data
作者简介 周怀康,华南理工大学工商管理学院,博士研究生;彭秋萍,华南理工大学工商管理学院,博士研究生;通讯作者:孙博,华南师范大学经济与管理学院;姜军辉,华南理工大学工商管理学院,博士,助理研究员。
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