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京津冀FDI与入境商务旅游的互动关系研究 预览

Study on Interactive Relationship Between FDI and Inbound Business Tourism in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei
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摘要 选取1994-2016年京、津、冀外企数量、外商投资额与入境商务旅游3个数据指标,综合运用协整分析、平稳性检验、格兰杰因果检验等方法,研究三地FDI与入境商务旅游(IBT)之间的关系。结果表明:①京、津、冀FDI和IBT存在协整关系,并存在一定的短期调节效应;②京、津、冀外商投资与IBT互为因果关系,但津、冀的外企数量是IBT的单项格兰杰原因,北京的IBT是外企数量的单项格兰杰原因;③京、津、冀IBT对外商投资的刺激作用均高于外商投资对IBT的刺激作用;④FDI对IBT的带动作用及IBT对FDI的带动作用呈现出京>津>冀的态势。 This paper selected three data indexes: The number of foreign enterprises,the amount of foreign investment and inbound business tourism of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei from 1994 to 2016,and made comprehensive use of cointegration analysis,stationarity test and Granger causality test to study the relationship between FDI and Inbound Business Tourism( IBT) in the three places. The results showed that:①There was a co-integration relationship between FDI and IBT in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei,and there was a certain short-term adjustment effect between them.②There was a causal relationship between FDI and IBT in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei,but the number of foreign enterprises was the single Granger cause of IBT in Tianjin and Hebei,and IBT was the single Granger cause of the number of foreign enterprises in Beijing.③The stimulating effect of IBT on foreign investment was higher than that of foreign investment on IBT in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei.④The driving effect of FDI on IBT and the driving effect of IBT on FDI showed the trend of Beijing > Tianjin > Hebei.
作者 袁晋锋 包富华 YUAN Jin-feng;BAO Fu-hua(Tourism and Management Branch,Yangling Vocational and Technical College,Yangling 712100,China;College of Economics and Management,Xianyang Normal University,Xianyang 712000,China)
出处 《资源开发与市场》 CAS 2019年第9期1196-1202,1213共8页 Resource Development & Market
基金 国家旅游局2017年度万名旅游英才计划“双师型”教师培养项目(编号:WMYC201730096) 陕西省教育厅科学研究计划项目“‘一带一路’背景下陕西省国际商务旅游提升策略与选择路径研究”(编号:18JK0816) 陕西省社科界重大理论与现实问题研究项目“新时代陕西省国际商务旅游发展战略研究”(编号:2019Z165)。
关键词 FDI 入境商务旅游 互动关系 GRANGER因果检验 京津冀 FDI IBT interactive relationship Granger causality test Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei
作者简介 第一作者/通讯作者:袁晋锋(1982-),男,山西省阳泉人,硕士,讲师,主要研究方向为旅游开发。
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