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长江经济带生态环境压力、状态及响应耦合协调发展研究 预览

Research on the Coupling Coordinated Development of Ecological Environment Pressure, State and Response in Yangtze River Economic Belt
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摘要 基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型框架,构建生态环境综合评价指标体系,采用耦合协调度模型,对2010-2016年长江经济带各省市生态环境压力、状态和响应子系统耦合协调性进行探讨,并利用面板计量模型实证分析协调发展度各因素影响的显著性和差异性。研究结果表明:(1)从各省市看,耦合度除上海出现下降外,其余省市都呈现波动上升态势,耦合类型主要处于磨合阶段和高度耦合阶段,协调发展度除上海和云南出现下降外,其余省市也都呈现波动上升态势,协调发展等级主要集中在中度协调类;(2)从各区域看,协调发展总体上呈现中部区域大于东部区域大于西部区域的空间特征;(3)从区域整体看,耦合度和协调发展度都波动上升,协调发展的主要制约因素为生态环境响应和压力。 This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for ecological environment based on the pressure-state-response(PSR) framework model, discusses the coupling coordination of ecological environment pressure, state and response subsystem of various provinces and cities in the Yangtze River economic belt from 2010 to 2016, and empirically analyzes the significance and difference of the factors affecting the coordination degree by using the panel econometric model. The results show that:(1) From the perspective of provinces and cities, the degree of coupling shows an overall fluctuating upward tendency in other provinces and cities while a decline in Shanghai;the coupling type is mainly in the running-in stage and the high coupling stage;the coordinated developments in most provinces and cities also show a rise in volatility, except for Shanghai and Yunnan, and the coordinated development level is mainly concentrated in the moderate coordination category.(2) From the perspective of various regions, the coordinated development presents the spatial characteristics of the central region is larger than the eastern region than the western region.(3)From the perspective of the region as a whole, the degree of coupling and coordination development shows a fluctuating upward trend, the main constraints of coordinated development are ecological environment response and pressure level, and the ecological environment response and ecological environment pressure are the main constraints for coordinated development.
作者 周正柱 王俊龙 Zhou Zhengzhu;Wang Junlong(Shanghai Institute of Technology, Shanghai 201418, China)
出处 《科技管理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第17期234-240,共7页 Science and Technology Management Research
基金 国家社会科学基金项目“长江经济带城镇化与生态环境耦合协调评价及其发展机制创新研究”(16BSH033).
关键词 长江经济带 生态环境 耦合协调 时空差异 the Yangtze river economic belt ecological environment coupling coordination temporal and spatial differences
作者简介 周正柱(1971—),男,安徽合肥人,副教授,博士,硕士研究生导师,主要研究方向为区域经济、城镇化;王俊龙(1990-),男,安徽宿州人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为区域经济、城镇化、技术创新管理。
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