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电力体制改革下增量配电业务投资利益博弈和平衡设计

Benefit game and balance design of incremental distribution service investment under the reform of electric power system
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摘要 在电力体制改革下进行增量配电业务投资利益分析,提高电力企业的盈利能力,提出一种基于主成分回归分析的电力体制改革下增量配电业务投资利益博弈和平衡模型。以资产负债率、利润增长率、现金流比率、销售净利率等参数为初始财务指标,构建电力体制改革下增量配电业务投资利益博弈的控制解释变量,采用主成分分析方法进行增量配电业务投资利益博弈建模,结合相关性检验分析方法进行回归分析,建立检测统计量模型,结合Logistics回归分析方法进行电力体制改革下增量配电业务投资利益博弈均衡控制,实现投资利益的均衡分配。实证分析结果表明,采用该模型进行电力体制改革下增量配电业务投资利益博弈的均衡调度性较好,提高了投资收益。 In order to improve the profitability of power enterprises,a profit game and balance model of incremental distribution business investment under the reform of power system is put forward based on principal component regression analysis.Taking the asset-liability ratio,profit growth rate,cash flow ratio and net sales interest rate as the initial financial indicators,this paper constructs the control explanatory variables of the profit game of incremental distribution business under the reform of power system.The principal component analysis(PCA)method is used to model the benefit of incremental distribution business investment,and the regression analysis method is combined with the correlation test analysis method to establish the test statistic model.The Logistics regression analysis method is used to control the game equilibrium of investment interests of incremental distribution business under the reform of power system,and the equilibrium distribution of investment benefits is realized.The results of empirical analysis show that the model has a good equilibrium scheduling performance and improves the investment income under the reform of power system.
作者 杨泽勇 欧阳佳慧 杨莹 李忠财 YANG Zeyong;Ouyang Jiahui;YANG Ying;LI Zhongcai(Economic Law Department of Tianjin Electric Power Corporation,Tianjin 300010,China;Economic Research Institute of Tianjin Electric Power Corporation,Tianjin 300012,China;Training Center of Tianjin Electric Power Corporation,Tianjin 300181,China)
出处 《自动化与仪器仪表》 2019年第3期92-95,共4页 Automation & Instrumentation
关键词 power system REFORM INCREMENTAL distribution service BENEFIT GAME ASSET INCOME power system reform incremental distribution service benefit game asset income
作者简介 杨泽勇(1978-),男,江西抚州人,学士,高级经济师,主要研究方向为电力体制改革、国资国企改革等。
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